President Obama’s new budget includes an innovative $100 million test program that can have profound effects on the social services world. Social impact bonds combine performance-based payments and market discipline to overcome barriers to social innovation and encourage investment in cost-saving preventive services.
First tested in England on a prison recidivism program that has yet to produce measureable results, these bonds invite investors to put up money that will run privately managed social programs. If the programs produce the quantifiable results anticipated in the program design, the government will pay investors back their original investment plus interest and performance bonuses.
As the Baltimore Sun reports these bonds have “the makings of a rare public policy trifecta—good for taxpayers, good for users of social services and good for private investors.”
The program creates opportunity for social service agencies while it challenges them on several fronts. First and foremost, agencies need to assure investors that they can bolster their evaluation methods to produce real outcomes, not just outputs. That will mean developing criteria to demonstrate success and adopting more stringent evaluation methods that previously have been difficult to develop and expensive to achieve.
Service providers also must convince the private investors that their program model and management team are likely to achieve the performance targets. Major foundations are likely to find merit in these programs but will individual investors see the merit and take the risk?
The success of these bonds also rests on the ability of agencies to collaboratively define the treatment population so that the results will be real and measureable, producing the right return on investment for sponsors. And at issue will be definition of what will happen to the chosen population if the programming fails.
These bonds could be the most innovative way to shape the way services are provided to those in need in the next decade or they could be a flash in the pan. What do you think?

